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they considered states like new hampshire, minnesota, pennsylvania all safe obama states. now they are going up on advertising, sending their surrogates in because they are on defense on states that they considered very safe for obama, whereas governor romney is able to expand the map into states that were considered outside of that window and that includes states like wisconsin as well. that were considered safe seats -- double digit states the president carried in 2008. >> we have to let that be the last word but thanks for coming on the program. it's good to see you. >> you bet. >> susan, let's talk about the polls. gallup daily tracking poll is suspended because of sandy. but we did see a national poll that showed obama up by one, more significantly in the battleground states but some of the numbers are tightening. the gap is closing but does obama still have enough of a lead. would he still be considered when you look at all these polls in aggregate the one to be favored? >> i think if you look at the whole set of swing states, polls that president obama seems to have
they considered states like new hampshire, minnesota, pennsylvania all safe obama states. now they are going up on advertising, sending their surrogates in because they are on defense on states that they considered very safe for obama, whereas governor romney is able to expand the map into states that were considered outside of that window and that includes states like wisconsin as well. that were considered safe seats -- double digit states the president carried in 2008. >> we have to...
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Oct 31, 2012
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instead republicans highlighted the political geography at play saying the obama campaign is playing defense in traditionally democratic states like minnesota. >>> still ahead, the incredible story of a new york city hospital evacuated after its generators failed and the nurses, doctors and eventmts wh carried premature babies to safety in the middle of the storm. progresso this reduced sodium soup says it may help lower cholesterol, how does it work? you just have to eat it as part of your heart healthy diet. step 1. eat the soup. all those veggies and beans, that's what may help lower your cholesterol and -- well that's easy [ male announcer ] progresso. you gotta taste this soup. >>> we told you there is no firm time table yet for when the subway system will be fully operational. mayor bloomberg said it could be four or five days. accept s seven subway tunnels are flooded. the last time they experienced significant flooding was in december of 1992 when a nor'easter hit the city. those floods resulted in extended interrupts of subway service and forced trains to remain closed for t
instead republicans highlighted the political geography at play saying the obama campaign is playing defense in traditionally democratic states like minnesota. >>> still ahead, the incredible story of a new york city hospital evacuated after its generators failed and the nurses, doctors and eventmts wh carried premature babies to safety in the middle of the storm. progresso this reduced sodium soup says it may help lower cholesterol, how does it work? you just have to eat it as part of...
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Oct 27, 2012
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but does his record in that state make it more or less likely that president obama will take the state? >> it's a little hard to tell. we look at the gender gap and we start sort of taking all women and putting them in the same category and saying there's a uterus uprising here. there are different sorts of women who support president obama. so women of color are driving that gender gap. so yes, there's a gender gap, but a lot is driven by african-american women. southeast asian women who haven't forgotten george allen on the senate ticket, that suggests that the question of whether or not it's going to have an impact on the presidential race is whether or not those parts of the obama for america 2012 machine are prepared to turn out those communities and not just sort of thinking about women as an interest group relative to these reproductive rights policies. >> what do you know about how good they are? the logistics of running a get out the vote operation don't work for all types of voters. >> the virginia campaign to get out women of color and get out voters in northern virginia is
but does his record in that state make it more or less likely that president obama will take the state? >> it's a little hard to tell. we look at the gender gap and we start sort of taking all women and putting them in the same category and saying there's a uterus uprising here. there are different sorts of women who support president obama. so women of color are driving that gender gap. so yes, there's a gender gap, but a lot is driven by african-american women. southeast asian women who...
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Oct 27, 2012
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but, iowa is a state that obama won by 9.5 percentage points. so slightly better in terms of the party registration. in the early votes, probably not going to cut it for romney. he's got to do a lot better. and over the last week we've seen sort of a flattening out of the party registration. republicans had been out of th party registration. republicans had been improving. this week they've actually reversed a little bit, just slightly in terms of the party registration. so it looks as though if the romney campaign is going to turn things around they've got to do a big push next week or on election day in iowa. >> yeah, let's look for virginia. we have it broken down male/female, right? what are you seeing in the votes? >> well, virginia is a state that has excuse required absentee voting. you see a much lower level of early voting in those states than other states. you see who are the sorts of people who are going to be requesting a ballot then if they have to provide an excuse. it tends to be older people living in nursing homes is one of the
but, iowa is a state that obama won by 9.5 percentage points. so slightly better in terms of the party registration. in the early votes, probably not going to cut it for romney. he's got to do a lot better. and over the last week we've seen sort of a flattening out of the party registration. republicans had been out of th party registration. republicans had been improving. this week they've actually reversed a little bit, just slightly in terms of the party registration. so it looks as though...
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Nov 3, 2012
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the poll says obama will win in the swing states. nate silver says obama is ahead in the swing states and win the electoral college. the polls are usually right. the model acknowledges the polls could be wrong. that chance is at 15% based on the same sort of analysis i gave earlier that look there are a few examples when the polls are off this much. ken buck, sharon engel, hilary and obama in new hampshire but more the exception than rule therefore obama is the favorite. if obama wins i don't think that makes, you know, nate silver or myself or anyone else who stairs at the polls and says obama is favored, you know, being incredibly insightful. polls are right and pollsters get the credit. if obama loses i don't think nate silver should be panned out. i don't think either. >> never pan you. >> you could use your wizardry to answer this question. isn't it quite possible at this point in terms of electoral college when you're looking at the key battleground states the president has a lead in most them. isn't it possible the president w
the poll says obama will win in the swing states. nate silver says obama is ahead in the swing states and win the electoral college. the polls are usually right. the model acknowledges the polls could be wrong. that chance is at 15% based on the same sort of analysis i gave earlier that look there are a few examples when the polls are off this much. ken buck, sharon engel, hilary and obama in new hampshire but more the exception than rule therefore obama is the favorite. if obama wins i don't...
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Oct 29, 2012
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this continues throughout the states. you see ohio, florida, colorado. obama's lead is massive. obama built the largest grassroots organization that politics saw in '08 and after he won he continued to build it. this can make a difference of two points and in a close race like this it can make all the difference in '08. it gave obama some already. that's not the situation in this case. people that have been to the ground offices say the obama offices are all about obamament the romney offices are rnc offices and not always all about romney. that leads a conservative like joe scarborough to worry about what's happening that the obama offices are building this unparalleled turnout machine and the great irony that scarborough writes for the romney camp is their candidate drirch by data and numbers his entire life is relying on the most unpredi unpredictable force of all, human emotion, to pull him over the top. i don't understand why romney and the gop have allowed this to happen? >> if it were just about having offices, obama would be in a clear lead in states like florida he's no
this continues throughout the states. you see ohio, florida, colorado. obama's lead is massive. obama built the largest grassroots organization that politics saw in '08 and after he won he continued to build it. this can make a difference of two points and in a close race like this it can make all the difference in '08. it gave obama some already. that's not the situation in this case. people that have been to the ground offices say the obama offices are all about obamament the romney offices...
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Nov 2, 2012
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. >> reporter: president obama also visits seven states between now and election day with a focus on ohio, his must-win state. he'll be there every day between now and the election, making his closing arguments, highlighting higher home prices and victory overseas. >> al qaeda has been decimated. osama bin laden is dead. so we've made real progress these past four years. >> reporter: the president picked up an endorsement from new york mayor michael blo bloomberg. earlier this week, bloomberg said they were too busy cleaning up from the storm for a presidential visit, but he applauds the president's record on climate change. so how will it shake out on tuesday? >> i think romney has a 50/50 chance to win the popular vote. i think it's harder to see him winning the electoral vote. >> reporter: a possible split verdict from a nation already deeply divided. an anxious end to what's been a very long campaign. lynn. >> all right, tracie. thanks. a quick program note for you. sunday on "meet the press," david gregory getting the final word of the 2012 dam pain from obama strategist david p
. >> reporter: president obama also visits seven states between now and election day with a focus on ohio, his must-win state. he'll be there every day between now and the election, making his closing arguments, highlighting higher home prices and victory overseas. >> al qaeda has been decimated. osama bin laden is dead. so we've made real progress these past four years. >> reporter: the president picked up an endorsement from new york mayor michael blo bloomberg. earlier this...
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Nov 4, 2012
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is president obama going to win the state of ohio? >> he is going to win, ed. we're going to deliver. they talked about the use of the word "revenge." . but all of us get caught up from time to time. but the president has heart-soul agreement and that is what is going to deliver this election to him. ohioans whether they're working class white males, african-american or hispanic and asian folks we know that he has heart-soul agreement and he has been standing in the ready position for us for over four years, we are going to deliver the state of ohio for president, barack obama. >> before i let you go here, tomorrow is souls to the polls, is that correct. >> yes. >> and this is going to be a big deal, isn't it? >> big deal. from 1:00 to 5:00 p.m. we fought hard to get sunday back. the churches are ready to rock and roll and we're talking all souls to the polls tomorrow. >> thanks so much. >>> still to come, president clinton has been an effective surrogate for president obama this election season. could he have an effect on down-ballot races as well? >>> and the
is president obama going to win the state of ohio? >> he is going to win, ed. we're going to deliver. they talked about the use of the word "revenge." . but all of us get caught up from time to time. but the president has heart-soul agreement and that is what is going to deliver this election to him. ohioans whether they're working class white males, african-american or hispanic and asian folks we know that he has heart-soul agreement and he has been standing in the ready...
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Oct 27, 2012
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president obama carried this state back in 2008. this state hasn't been impacted as much by the economic downturn as other states. the unemployment rate is at 5.7%. that is far below the national average. however, mitt romney owns a home here. he was governor of neighboring massachusetts. so he certainly carries a lot of weight here in new hampshire. of course, this state is really known for its independent streak. so both candidates really appealing to that group of voters as well as women and young voters. alex, on friday president obama spent the day at the white house but he was still campaigning. he did a series of interviews with tv and radio stations. and he spoke to mtv really making a strong appeal to young voters. here's what he had to say. take a listen. >> we now have to go directly to the source, the colleges and universities and say, you've got to work on cutting tuition. and we're going to reward those schools that do a good job providing good value for their students while keeping tuition low. >> and alex, the polls
president obama carried this state back in 2008. this state hasn't been impacted as much by the economic downturn as other states. the unemployment rate is at 5.7%. that is far below the national average. however, mitt romney owns a home here. he was governor of neighboring massachusetts. so he certainly carries a lot of weight here in new hampshire. of course, this state is really known for its independent streak. so both candidates really appealing to that group of voters as well as women and...
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Nov 4, 2012
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coming up, president obama helping lock up the badger's state. we're joined for an update on wisconsin voting. stay tuned, you're watching "the ed show" live from democracy plaza. you're also looking at all of the skating that takes place here. i was going to skat tonight, but i've got sore ankles, i think i'll pass. we're coming right back. [ male announcer ] febreze. eliminates odors and leaves carpets fresh. ♪ and leaves carpets fresh. if we want to improve our schools... ... what should we invest in? maybe new buildings? what about updated equipment? they can help, but recent research shows... ... nothing transforms schools like investing in advanced teacher education. let's build a strong foundation. let's invest in our teachers so they can inspire our students. let's solve this. anyone have occasional constipation, diarrhea, gas, bloating? yeah. one phillips' colon health probiotic cap each day helps defend against these digestive issues with three strains of good bacteria. approved! [ phillips' lady ] live the regular life. phillips'. >>
coming up, president obama helping lock up the badger's state. we're joined for an update on wisconsin voting. stay tuned, you're watching "the ed show" live from democracy plaza. you're also looking at all of the skating that takes place here. i was going to skat tonight, but i've got sore ankles, i think i'll pass. we're coming right back. [ male announcer ] febreze. eliminates odors and leaves carpets fresh. ♪ and leaves carpets fresh. if we want to improve our schools... ......
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Oct 31, 2012
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today president obama tours the storm devastation in atlantic city and vice president biden makes two campaign stops in florida. mr. romney will also be in florida as he makes three stops. paul ryan will spend the day campaigning in his home state of wisconsin. let's get back to sandy, because two of the three major airports serving the new york area, kennedy and newark, they'll start to reopen with limited service later this morning, but the super storm created a worldwide ripple effect. many are still stranded overseas. so we want to check in with michelle kosinski from london. good morning. >> reporter: right, it does have that sort of snowballing effect that we see with any major travel destruction around the world, but of course this is a big one with so many airports closed for more than one day now. one expert was estimating that more than 50,000 travelers have been affected just between new york and london. sounds like a big number for a short period of time, but it's really not when you consider that about 7,000 people on average per day traveled just between jfk and heathrow
today president obama tours the storm devastation in atlantic city and vice president biden makes two campaign stops in florida. mr. romney will also be in florida as he makes three stops. paul ryan will spend the day campaigning in his home state of wisconsin. let's get back to sandy, because two of the three major airports serving the new york area, kennedy and newark, they'll start to reopen with limited service later this morning, but the super storm created a worldwide ripple effect. many...
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Oct 29, 2012
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i think obama campaign's said to the folks in these states. this is our chance to do that. they probably have enough money to deal with this. we learned in 2005 with katrina, if the federal response is sluggish or looks unprepared for this, that's a worse damage to the president than anything else, and i think that the president has to do this. he's canceled four events in four states over the next two days. right now he's scheduled to go to green bay at the end of the tuesday. we'll see if that happens. probably unlikely. he may start again on wednesday when he's supposed in ohio. >> although to his benefit you could argue in some of the key states, places like new york and new jersey and connecticut, they're very strong governors there who are experienced with this stuff and unlikely to fumble the response. we'll see how that goes. let's bring in congresswoman marcia blackburn, a republican from tennessee. what impact do you think this storm will have to the presidential race? >> i'm not certain that it's going to have any direct impact. i will say that our thoughts and p
i think obama campaign's said to the folks in these states. this is our chance to do that. they probably have enough money to deal with this. we learned in 2005 with katrina, if the federal response is sluggish or looks unprepared for this, that's a worse damage to the president than anything else, and i think that the president has to do this. he's canceled four events in four states over the next two days. right now he's scheduled to go to green bay at the end of the tuesday. we'll see if...
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five days to go, president obama's campaigning in three states today. meanwhile, republicans are going ugly. mitt romney is trying everything he can to shake up the race. that is the real story of what is going on in the campaign now. romney's forces are responding to new polls showing president obama leading in swing states. up by six in iowa, up by five in ohio, and ahead in other key states, including new hampshire, be virginia, florida, wisconsin, colorado, and nevada. and today, a major endorsement coming from new york city's independent mayor michael bloomberg. no question, this is a close race but today in wisconsin the president went after one of the key points in governor romney's closing argument to voters. >> the closing weeks of this campaign, governor romney has been using all his talents as a salesman to dress up these very same policies that failed our country so badly. and he is offering them change. he's saying he's the candidate of change. well, let me tell you, wisconsin, we know what change looks like. and what the governor is offeri
five days to go, president obama's campaigning in three states today. meanwhile, republicans are going ugly. mitt romney is trying everything he can to shake up the race. that is the real story of what is going on in the campaign now. romney's forces are responding to new polls showing president obama leading in swing states. up by six in iowa, up by five in ohio, and ahead in other key states, including new hampshire, be virginia, florida, wisconsin, colorado, and nevada. and today, a major...
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Nov 3, 2012
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one state that's not a swing state this year but that president obama made into a swing state in 2008 is the great state of indiana. indiana flipped from red to blue in the presidential contest. president obama is not necessarily expected to pull off the same thing this year in indiana. but this year there's a really hot race in indiana in the senate. after a tea party primary cost senator richard lugar his senate job, the republican candidate in indiana ended up being the guy on the left side of your screen richard mourdock. he's up against joe donnelly. since he made his rape comment at a debate a few weeks ago, in very, very, very, very red state indiana, the republican candidate is now behind in that state senate race. he's losing the race by double digits. here's the interesting thing about that poll to. it's a poll in indiana, which almost never happens. it's really weird, but nobody nationally never knows what's going on in indiana politics because they don't poll in indiana. in indiana, it's illegal to make automated calls for telemarketing purposes and for public opinion surv
one state that's not a swing state this year but that president obama made into a swing state in 2008 is the great state of indiana. indiana flipped from red to blue in the presidential contest. president obama is not necessarily expected to pull off the same thing this year in indiana. but this year there's a really hot race in indiana in the senate. after a tea party primary cost senator richard lugar his senate job, the republican candidate in indiana ended up being the guy on the left side...
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ron insana, appreciate it. >>> president obama maintaining a slight lead in the battleground state of ohio. what does that mean for the key stone state and there's an ad war starting in pennsylvania. some think that it could be in play all based on what's going on in ohio. former governor ed rendell will join me next about that. >>> first it was rain and wind and now fire. new blazes are popping up along the already battered jersey shore. we'll get you updated on that. >>> we encourage you to send pictures of the storm if you have it. tweet us and make sure you include the hash tag #msnbcpics and we'll try to use them on air. i'm a conservative investor. i invest in what i know. i turned 65 last week. i'm getting married. planning a life. there are risks, sure. but, there's no reward without it. i want to be prepared for the long haul. i see a world bursting with opportunities. india, china, brazil, ishares, small-caps, large-caps, ishares. industrials. low cost. every dollar counts. ishares. income. dividends. bonds. i like bonds. ishares. commodities. diversification. choices. my ow
ron insana, appreciate it. >>> president obama maintaining a slight lead in the battleground state of ohio. what does that mean for the key stone state and there's an ad war starting in pennsylvania. some think that it could be in play all based on what's going on in ohio. former governor ed rendell will join me next about that. >>> first it was rain and wind and now fire. new blazes are popping up along the already battered jersey shore. we'll get you updated on that....
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. >> president obama is the president of the united states. by the way, we only have one president. i don't like the idea of mitt romney frying to go around and pretend he's the president of the united states when he's not. president obama canceled campaign events, and then governor romney -- this is a statement about what you do as president. that's why this storm is an important issue. you have to be president of all the american people and not president of new jersey and virginia because they have republican governors. why didn't mitt romney bother to call the other three? maybe because he has a record where he said back in the defwat last year when he was running trying to be severely conservatively that he would cut fema funding and send it back to the states and privatize it. this is why it's so important, because it illustrates the importance of government and illustrates the two fundamentally two different choices of the two candidates running for the highest office in land. >> chip, i think we have that sound from the debate. at the time governor romney was asked whether or
. >> president obama is the president of the united states. by the way, we only have one president. i don't like the idea of mitt romney frying to go around and pretend he's the president of the united states when he's not. president obama canceled campaign events, and then governor romney -- this is a statement about what you do as president. that's why this storm is an important issue. you have to be president of all the american people and not president of new jersey and virginia...
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the battleground states of virginia. in virginia, a reuters poll has president obama at 49% and mitt romney at 45%. in florida, reuters has president obama at 48% and mitt romney at 46%. in michigan, a ppp poll has president obama at 52% and mitt romney at 46%. and in colorado, a ppp poll has president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 46%. in new hampshire, a new england college poll has president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 44%. tonight, nate silver the "new york times" blog forecasts that president obama has an 81% of winning re-election and that he will win 304 electoral college votes and mitt romney will within 234. and the great thing about next week is i will no longer have to say ppp poll. i'm done with that poll. these polls are tight. these polls, you know, i refuse to use the language the poll shows president obama winning 50, because every one of these polls is within the margin of error. every one of them. so they are really showing something that could be a tie, could be tight. for incumbents this is not
the battleground states of virginia. in virginia, a reuters poll has president obama at 49% and mitt romney at 45%. in florida, reuters has president obama at 48% and mitt romney at 46%. in michigan, a ppp poll has president obama at 52% and mitt romney at 46%. and in colorado, a ppp poll has president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 46%. in new hampshire, a new england college poll has president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 44%. tonight, nate silver the "new york times" blog...
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and right now polls show that president obama is holding onto a modest lead here in the buckeye state. president obama made three stops here on friday. and really what was a campaign all-out blitz, two of those stops, by the way, alex, were in counties that he lost back in 2008. he's hoping to kick off some of those working-class voters. he's doing it by the auto bailout. that is something that is widely popular here that, of course, mitt romney opposed. widely popular because one out of every eight ohioans has a connection to the auto industry. president obama also touting what he called an economy that is in recovery. he referenced friday's jobs report to do it. take a listen. >> in 2008 we were in the middle of two wars, and the worst economic crisis since the great depression. today our businesses have created nearly 5.5 million new jobs and this morning we learned the company's hired more workers in october than at any time in the last eight months. >> president obama has a frenetic campaign today straight through election day today, alex. he will make stops in wisconsin, iowa, a
and right now polls show that president obama is holding onto a modest lead here in the buckeye state. president obama made three stops here on friday. and really what was a campaign all-out blitz, two of those stops, by the way, alex, were in counties that he lost back in 2008. he's hoping to kick off some of those working-class voters. he's doing it by the auto bailout. that is something that is widely popular here that, of course, mitt romney opposed. widely popular because one out of every...
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>> he's doing cool obama. he needs the young vote. >> is that what it is? >> i think right now i'd rather be barack obama than mitt romney. if you look at the polls, his campaign feels pretty good about where they are, and so he's sort of enjoying this. >> i get up this morning and started clocking it around 8:00. i started clocking minute to minute to minute to get the jobless number. then i go, i did say this before, i said if it's underrated it's okay for obama. if it's up a tick it's okay. but i didn't think the good news would be 171,000 new jobs, which is way above the 125,000 predicted, and now we have three months of 170,000-plus. >> you notice -- >> so it is starting to go up substantially. >> if you compare it to what happened when -- four years ago, i think they lost 400,000 jobs or so this month, it is change for the better. i notice -- >> i'd say. >> i notice today there was a lot less arguing about these jobs numbers than there have been the last -- >> you spoke too soon. someone who wasn't pleased with the jobs report was mitt romney. here he
>> he's doing cool obama. he needs the young vote. >> is that what it is? >> i think right now i'd rather be barack obama than mitt romney. if you look at the polls, his campaign feels pretty good about where they are, and so he's sort of enjoying this. >> i get up this morning and started clocking it around 8:00. i started clocking minute to minute to minute to get the jobless number. then i go, i did say this before, i said if it's underrated it's okay for obama. if...
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Oct 30, 2012
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which is seen as safe for obama. mainly for scheduling purposes, i wouldn't expect to see either romney or obama in new hampshire or virginia again, and here's the rule of thumb in this is that for the president, good government is good politics and it would have been counter productive if he was out at a rally today because would still be a storm backlash. these events that romney and paul ryan have dealing with storm relief, that is a compromise between having a formal campaign event and going, just canceling the whole day of events and it's a delicate line and everyone has to be treading this close to the election in the wake of such an enormous disaster. >> singing the president's praises and how he's handling this, his toughest critic governor chris christie, take a listen. >> he deserves great credit. yesterday, personally, three times, he gave me his number at the white house and told me to call him if i needed anything and he absolutely means it. >> so, perry, do you think this helps the president? he does ha
which is seen as safe for obama. mainly for scheduling purposes, i wouldn't expect to see either romney or obama in new hampshire or virginia again, and here's the rule of thumb in this is that for the president, good government is good politics and it would have been counter productive if he was out at a rally today because would still be a storm backlash. these events that romney and paul ryan have dealing with storm relief, that is a compromise between having a formal campaign event and...
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here's how it looks in the swing states. in the swing state of ohio, a new local newspaper poll shows the race dead even. a new left-leaning poll outleft hampshire has president obama up in new hampshire by two points. a local university point by north carolina has it as a tie. a brand new cnn poll shows florida, mitt romney is ahead by one point. in colorado, an independent polling called arg shows mitt romney up there as well. that's the state of the race. couldn't be tighter. if there isn't much more campaigning to be done over the next few days that's where the states will essentially stand. and this campaign was put on a forced indefinite hiatus as both sides were starting to make their closing arguments. on the democratic side here's what's going to end up being the closing argument for the obama campaign. this ad is reportedly set to run in florida, iowa, ohio and virginia. in here, it's just you. no adtion, no debates, just you. so think about this -- mitt romney's plan rolls back regulations on the banks that crashe
here's how it looks in the swing states. in the swing state of ohio, a new local newspaper poll shows the race dead even. a new left-leaning poll outleft hampshire has president obama up in new hampshire by two points. a local university point by north carolina has it as a tie. a brand new cnn poll shows florida, mitt romney is ahead by one point. in colorado, an independent polling called arg shows mitt romney up there as well. that's the state of the race. couldn't be tighter. if there isn't...
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president obama bounces from one battle ground state to another using ohio as his airline hub. he's using all the hot spots trying to rally his base and any undecided voters he thinks are left. governor romney is also racing against the clock, tweaking his argument. and in case you forgot, we've got more than two guys running on tuesday, tonight we'll break down all of the battles, particularly for congress and who will decide control of it and what the next president can get done. good evening from democracy plaza. it's saturday, november 3, 2012. this is a prime time edition of "the daily rundown." we're taking a look at how we got here. presidential elections that aren't close are actually odd. no republican has gotten more than 300 electoral votes since 1988. only four democrats in history have gotten more than 53% of the vote. bottom line, this is 1976 meets 2000 meets 2004. in other words, it's a very close race. so how did we get here? the president began this campaign weighed down by a troubled economy and still faces a jobless rate higher than any incumbent seeking re-
president obama bounces from one battle ground state to another using ohio as his airline hub. he's using all the hot spots trying to rally his base and any undecided voters he thinks are left. governor romney is also racing against the clock, tweaking his argument. and in case you forgot, we've got more than two guys running on tuesday, tonight we'll break down all of the battles, particularly for congress and who will decide control of it and what the next president can get done. good evening...
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the state of florida. i mean, we just have a ground game that is really superior to them. and we have enthusiasm that has blown the doors off of early voting, even better numbers than 2008. >> we will be watching. debbie wassermann schultz, member of congress from south florida and the chairwoman of the democratic committee. >> we will be voting. >>> let me show you more live pictures here. we're monitoring it up and down the east coast. this is virginia beach where you see the waves kicking up. look at this. hard to imagine. that doesn't look like -- that doesn't look like something that's going to hold up there. we shall see. >>> and here are those live pictures of delaware we were telling you about. it's tough sledding out there for us to get both video and sound up, which is why i'm able to check in with all of our correspondents the way we wanted to, but we will be checking it out. this is a great resource that is available to you to monitor hurricane sandy. go to our pals over at weather.com. they'll
the state of florida. i mean, we just have a ground game that is really superior to them. and we have enthusiasm that has blown the doors off of early voting, even better numbers than 2008. >> we will be watching. debbie wassermann schultz, member of congress from south florida and the chairwoman of the democratic committee. >> we will be voting. >>> let me show you more live pictures here. we're monitoring it up and down the east coast. this is virginia beach where you see...
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president obama carried this state in 2008. unemployment rate far below the national average, but mitt romney has a strong presence here. not only was he governor of neighboring massachusetts, but he owns a house here in new hampshire. kristen welker, thank you for that report. >>> from new hampshire to the sunshine state. many residents down here in florida not waiting until election day to cast their ballots. just this morning, hundreds, thousands lining up at polling places to lock in their support for their candidate of choice. will this early electoral activity impact what we see on november 6th? joining me to talk about it, a.b. stoddard associate editor on the hill and jeff greenberg. a.b., let me start with you. both candidates want to bank votes, but this has been a major push for the president, in particular. he made it his public service announcement on the trail. can democrats make enough strides with in-person early voting to prevent sweating out election night? >> well, that's what they hope. if you talk to them i
president obama carried this state in 2008. unemployment rate far below the national average, but mitt romney has a strong presence here. not only was he governor of neighboring massachusetts, but he owns a house here in new hampshire. kristen welker, thank you for that report. >>> from new hampshire to the sunshine state. many residents down here in florida not waiting until election day to cast their ballots. just this morning, hundreds, thousands lining up at polling places to lock...
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it's an overwhelmingly white state. we know that obama's struggling with white voters. a state obama won by ten points last time and keep in mind that means it's closer than wisconsin, pennsylvania, closer than a whole bunch and closer than nevada, states recognized as battlegrounds and a democratic history and makes it difficult for romney and not hard to see why the combination of results of a last few elections and the state's demographics could put it in play. other hand, polls show obama ahead and 50%. the campaigns have an investment there and they don't take the evidence of a strong race and inclined to think although minnesota is closer than people think it's probably not going romney's way. >> nate, let's talk about ohio. the sort of premier swing state. you have made the point of a state filled with white working class voters and elsewhere turned on obama in four years and if they had in ohio like they have elsewhere this would be a pretty easy romney feat and obama's ahead by a few points and been a consistent leap. i want to run a number that jumped out at m
it's an overwhelmingly white state. we know that obama's struggling with white voters. a state obama won by ten points last time and keep in mind that means it's closer than wisconsin, pennsylvania, closer than a whole bunch and closer than nevada, states recognized as battlegrounds and a democratic history and makes it difficult for romney and not hard to see why the combination of results of a last few elections and the state's demographics could put it in play. other hand, polls show obama...
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barack obama winning the state. so when i spoke with the former head of the republican party of florida, a guy named jim greer who is in his own trouble over charges about some illegal money thing that he was doing, but when he was running the party he told me that republican consultants came to him and said, we want to craft a bill that would get rid of early voting if we could, or severely cut it, because in the words of these consultants, according to jim greer, all it does is bring every african-american out from under a rock, that's a quote, and get them to vote for democrats. they don't vote for us, it doesn't help us. so the republican legislature which in 2010 became more tea party, more conservative, there's no margin in it for them to increase access to in-person early voting. what they did is passed a law that didn't touch absentee voting, which republicans tend to dominate in, but severely limited the early vote. just to give you some numbers, you're talking about there were 96 hours, there are 96 hours
barack obama winning the state. so when i spoke with the former head of the republican party of florida, a guy named jim greer who is in his own trouble over charges about some illegal money thing that he was doing, but when he was running the party he told me that republican consultants came to him and said, we want to craft a bill that would get rid of early voting if we could, or severely cut it, because in the words of these consultants, according to jim greer, all it does is bring every...
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all of the lincoln states last time and this time are going for barack obama. so there is a line here but it doesn't quite go in the direction that they are suggesting. >> well, do you feel that they will sober up and come back to reality the day after the election and deal with the deficit and deal with problems that this country is facing or are we in a permanent state of the republican zone? >> well, i heard a republican -- go ahead, ana marie. >> i was going to say, i hope not. history doesn't suggest that very well. there is something to be said for simply truth and reality. to paraphrase todd akin, facts have a way of shutting that stuff down when it gets too crazy but we have kind of had a crazy election period and a crazy congress and i can only hope that reality settles in, when the dust settles, e.j., i'd love to hear your point of view on that. >> you know, i heard a republican suggest today, and he was worried about this, that if they did lose, they are going to blame the whole thing on hurricane sandy which is a convenient way of getting around wha
all of the lincoln states last time and this time are going for barack obama. so there is a line here but it doesn't quite go in the direction that they are suggesting. >> well, do you feel that they will sober up and come back to reality the day after the election and deal with the deficit and deal with problems that this country is facing or are we in a permanent state of the republican zone? >> well, i heard a republican -- go ahead, ana marie. >> i was going to say, i hope...
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that's what's going to re-elect president obama, the president of the united states. >> so does president obama win florida? >> president obama is going to win florida, i am confident. >> congresswoman debbie wasserman schultz with us tonight, thanks so much. >> thank you. >>> coming up, congresswoman michele bachmann faced democratic challenger jim graves in their first debate last night. i'll show you the bachmann claim that had the whole audience in stitches, laughing. stay tuned. [ male announcer ] this is sheldon, whose long dy setting up the news starts with arthritis pain and a choice. take tylenol or take aleve, the #1 recommended pain reliever by orthopedic doctors. just two aleve can keep pain away all day. back to the news. just two aleve can keep pain away all day. when you take a closer look... ...at the best schools in the world... ...you see they all have something very interesting in common. they have teachers... ...with a deeper knowledge of their subjects. as a result, their students achieve at a higher level. let's develop more stars in education. let's invest in our te
that's what's going to re-elect president obama, the president of the united states. >> so does president obama win florida? >> president obama is going to win florida, i am confident. >> congresswoman debbie wasserman schultz with us tonight, thanks so much. >> thank you. >>> coming up, congresswoman michele bachmann faced democratic challenger jim graves in their first debate last night. i'll show you the bachmann claim that had the whole audience in stitches,...
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give me this person to help president obama succeed. >> president obama is not going to lose the state of minnesota. i can speak with a little bit of authority and credibility on that one. so president clinton going to minnesota tomorrow, he's going to be there to try to defeat michele bachmann in supporting a guy named jim graves who is a self-made guy. this is a guy that came from a very humble background. he's a very successful businessman. in fact, joy, if the republicans wanted to get somebody to run, this is the kind of guy that they'd go after. >> yeah. >> what kind of effect can bill clinton have on a high-profile tea partier who has been very critical of the president from day one, michele bachmann? >> think about what you just said. this candidate on the democratic side is a perfect democrat and a perfect dlc -- he's somebody that michele bachmann's softer supporters, whether it's women who are concerned with her position on women's issues, or republicans, there are a lot of republicans who look fondly at bill clinton, who might be thinking, you know what, michele bachmann wa
give me this person to help president obama succeed. >> president obama is not going to lose the state of minnesota. i can speak with a little bit of authority and credibility on that one. so president clinton going to minnesota tomorrow, he's going to be there to try to defeat michele bachmann in supporting a guy named jim graves who is a self-made guy. this is a guy that came from a very humble background. he's a very successful businessman. in fact, joy, if the republicans wanted to...
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that's what's going to re-elect president obama the president of the united states. >> so does president obama win florida? >> president obama is going to win florida, i am confident. >> congresswoman debbie wasserman schultz with us tonight, thanks so much. >> thank you. >>> coming up, congresswoman michele bachmann faced democratic challenger jim graves in their first debate last night. i'll show you the bachmann claim that had the whole audience in stitches laughing. stay tuned. [ heart beating, monitor beeping ] woman: what do you mean, homeowners insurance doesn't cover floods? [ heart rate increases ] man: a few inches of water caused all this? [ heart rate increases ] woman #2: but i don't even live near the water. what you don't know about flood insurance may shock you -- including the fact that a preferred risk policy starts as low as $129 a year. for an agent, call the number that appears on your screen. >>> up next, michele bachmann, congresswoman from minnesota gets some big laughs at her debate against jim graves last night after she says she doesn't engage in political spee
that's what's going to re-elect president obama the president of the united states. >> so does president obama win florida? >> president obama is going to win florida, i am confident. >> congresswoman debbie wasserman schultz with us tonight, thanks so much. >> thank you. >>> coming up, congresswoman michele bachmann faced democratic challenger jim graves in their first debate last night. i'll show you the bachmann claim that had the whole audience in stitches...
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let's recall that president obama is fairly popular in jersey and chris christie is not. and he needs a lot of help from the federal government. he needs fema help, red cross help and trailers and everything so for a state executive at a bipartisan time, the president, he has an advantage, he can conduct diplomacy so to speak on like two treks. he can have the full machinery of the white house and the disaster response and being statesman like. that campaign isn't over. that campaign is going on and on, both sides, romney and obama, they're putting out press releases, talking points, hitting each other ads are on the air so it hasn't stopped. >> the surrogates are still in motion. >> except for chris christie. >> that's true. >> he's switched sides now a surrogate for the president. sorry. >> and to bring it back to the reality of the situation, chris christie has an extraordinary amount of work on his hands. you know, the next few weeks or months of his life will be busy with nonpolitical activities. after the break workers are stranded, hundreds of businesses are closed
let's recall that president obama is fairly popular in jersey and chris christie is not. and he needs a lot of help from the federal government. he needs fema help, red cross help and trailers and everything so for a state executive at a bipartisan time, the president, he has an advantage, he can conduct diplomacy so to speak on like two treks. he can have the full machinery of the white house and the disaster response and being statesman like. that campaign isn't over. that campaign is going...
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that's a conservative part of the state. no one expected obama to win it. . the question becomes is what's on the ends. so far, we are seeing his numbers hold up remarkably well there. so i don't think that it's going to be -- i agree with jonathan capehart, it's fool's gold. but we'll see what happens and i'm sticking with robert. probably not. >> i like that. overall, one romney adviser said it's a tied football game. there's a loose ball. is that the talk of someone who is behind? i have been asking people today, if it's tied, don't you claim to be ahead? >> if only i knew the answer. this is the question that we all watch the same polls nationally and in the battlegrounds, they are tight. you can be buffetted one way or the other of the spin on both sides. they make the case the early voting numbers look like the obama campaign has lost the margin it went into election day with four years ago. on the other hand, it shows obama is up by two to one margins. you can glean whatever you want out of the facts that we have, the data that we have. the larger issu
that's a conservative part of the state. no one expected obama to win it. . the question becomes is what's on the ends. so far, we are seeing his numbers hold up remarkably well there. so i don't think that it's going to be -- i agree with jonathan capehart, it's fool's gold. but we'll see what happens and i'm sticking with robert. probably not. >> i like that. overall, one romney adviser said it's a tied football game. there's a loose ball. is that the talk of someone who is behind? i...
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how worried is the obama campaign about those states? >> well, i think they've been worried of all of those states because they are very close even though the polls shows obama slightly ahead by no means a safe margin. he does not have a strong lead anywhere. i think the romney campaign is really worried about ohio and that's why they suddenly turned up their visits in advertising in pennsylvania, michigan, minnesota, states they don't have much of a chance to carry but they need ohio insurance because so far even if the lead is very small ohio is looking pretty good for the president. >> you know, i'm glad bill brought that up because i was going to get to that in just a few minutes. ohio, governor romney hasn't led in a major poll in that state. right now you take an average of all the polls that look at the buckeye state, the president enjoys a lead there, some of those leads more substantial than others. is it at this point the buckeye state is it a wash for the governor? >> well, you know, i think he certainly had some trouble there
how worried is the obama campaign about those states? >> well, i think they've been worried of all of those states because they are very close even though the polls shows obama slightly ahead by no means a safe margin. he does not have a strong lead anywhere. i think the romney campaign is really worried about ohio and that's why they suddenly turned up their visits in advertising in pennsylvania, michigan, minnesota, states they don't have much of a chance to carry but they need ohio...
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wisconsin and one of new hampshire, iowa, nevada, you're president of united states. you have a lot of combinations in play for romney. the problem is this. virginia is dead even right now. krystal is right. if obama picks up virginia, it ends things. >> it's dead even right now, but one of the things karen finney pointed out is latinos are underpolled nationwide partly because of a language barrier. you don't get an accurate reading and we talked about before in 2010 colorado, harry reid, a lot of latinos there. they trailed sharon engel by three points at the end and he wins. they're not correctly polling latinos and hispanics. virginia is a huge thing. 80% of the state, and a 92% increase since 2000. if you see an irregularity or differentiation from the polling in colorado, virginia, florida and perhaps florida on election night because they didn't correctly poll lati teenotices. >> virginia will come down to the d, democrats. 200,000 defense jobs are on the line with that sequestration looming on the horizon. the president knows that. i think george allen and tim
wisconsin and one of new hampshire, iowa, nevada, you're president of united states. you have a lot of combinations in play for romney. the problem is this. virginia is dead even right now. krystal is right. if obama picks up virginia, it ends things. >> it's dead even right now, but one of the things karen finney pointed out is latinos are underpolled nationwide partly because of a language barrier. you don't get an accurate reading and we talked about before in 2010 colorado, harry...
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obama care. states believe in states racing to the top. one of the aspects in this, i'm complaining about california and alabama get ignored. the opposite are you are in a swing state, you are innovative. there's this hilarious thing in columbus ohio yesterday, live tweeting the ads. to wrap up in columbus ohio, 45 of 45 ads were political ads. at a certain point, the amount of media markets and voters is fixed and limited. the amount of money is unlimited. it's all poured into the same place. my question for you, rick, when you brainstorm about a popular vote election, what it would look like, what would it look like? >> one of the things that would be different is the power of money, the relative power of money would be diminished. there's essentially no limit -- there's a limit to how much run you can raise. >> you don't see any campaign saying we raised enough money, let's stop. maybe more would be raised under a popular vote. it would have to be spread out through the whole country. right now, it's funneled into these eight or nine st
obama care. states believe in states racing to the top. one of the aspects in this, i'm complaining about california and alabama get ignored. the opposite are you are in a swing state, you are innovative. there's this hilarious thing in columbus ohio yesterday, live tweeting the ads. to wrap up in columbus ohio, 45 of 45 ads were political ads. at a certain point, the amount of media markets and voters is fixed and limited. the amount of money is unlimited. it's all poured into the same place....
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that's what's going to re-elect president obama, the president of the united states. >> so does president obama win florida? >> president obama is going to win florida, i am confident. >> congresswoman debbie wasserman schultz with us tonight, thanks so much. >> thank you. >>> coming up, congresswoman michele bachmann faced democratic challenger jim graves in their first debate last night. i'll show you the bachmann claim that had the whole audience in stitches, laughing. stay tuned. ur jaw drop? campbell's has 24 new soups that will make it drop over, and over again. ♪ from jammin' jerk chicken, to creamy gouda bisque. see what's new from campbell's. it's amazing what soup can do. i'm an expert on softball. and tea parties. i'll have more awkward conversations than i'm equipped for because i'm raising two girls on my own. i'll worry about the economy more than a few times before they're grown. but it's for them, so i've found a way. who matters most to you says the most about you. massmutual is owned by our policyholders so they matter most to us. massmutual. we'll help you get there.
that's what's going to re-elect president obama, the president of the united states. >> so does president obama win florida? >> president obama is going to win florida, i am confident. >> congresswoman debbie wasserman schultz with us tonight, thanks so much. >> thank you. >>> coming up, congresswoman michele bachmann faced democratic challenger jim graves in their first debate last night. i'll show you the bachmann claim that had the whole audience in stitches,...
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likely states obama carries. >> not counting north carolina, well, colorado is going to be tough. i think of all the battleground states, that's probably the closest. >> give me the next two. >> new hampshire, and i think florida, although, i am more optimistic about florida. >> i'm sensing that. >> i think florida could be the odd surprise. >> jim? >> keep an eye on hispanic voters. >> that's what i agree. most pessimistic, romney side. what do you think? >> definitely nevada. definitely iowa. i guess wisconsin. wisconsin, ohio. they need one of those two. >> well, no. one of the other ones. either iowa or ohio or wisconsin. >> liz, what do you sense is the closest state? what's going to be the closest state? >> it's going to be my state. >> you think it's going to be the closest state? >> i think at the end, that's what we'll see, correct. >> i think it's going to be nevada. >> you think that's going to be the closest? >> yeah, i think that's going to be a razor-thin margin, presumably for romney. >> i'm going to stick with virginia. i've been going back and forth between virgin
likely states obama carries. >> not counting north carolina, well, colorado is going to be tough. i think of all the battleground states, that's probably the closest. >> give me the next two. >> new hampshire, and i think florida, although, i am more optimistic about florida. >> i'm sensing that. >> i think florida could be the odd surprise. >> jim? >> keep an eye on hispanic voters. >> that's what i agree. most pessimistic, romney side. what do...
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fema personnel are working closely with state and local governments. we're making sure that food and water and emergency generation is available for those communities that are going to be hardest hit. transportation is going to be tied up for a long time. and probably the most significant impact for a lot of people in addition to flooding, is going to be getting power back on. the fact is, a lot of these emergency crews are not going to be able to get into position to start restoring pooir until some of the winds have died down. >> joining me for the latest on. power and scope of sandy is nbc meteorologist bill kerrins. bill, the mayor of new york seemed to indicate the worst is over in new york city. where is the country now in this storm? because it covers a lot more than the state of new york? >> well, if this was a sporting event we're heading toward the end. we've seen the worst of it. we've seen the most damage and the most extreme damage on the coast with the high tide cycle we just got done with but all the water has to rush out and we still ha
fema personnel are working closely with state and local governments. we're making sure that food and water and emergency generation is available for those communities that are going to be hardest hit. transportation is going to be tied up for a long time. and probably the most significant impact for a lot of people in addition to flooding, is going to be getting power back on. the fact is, a lot of these emergency crews are not going to be able to get into position to start restoring pooir...
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so there you see it, erin, these states all show obama up. i'm wondering, is that a consistent mood? obviously, the romney people don't buy that? >> no, and look, we are seeing a little bit of a swing back toward president obama. one thing i will say about the storm, about sandy, is that president obama is going to be continuing to get positive national media coverage this week. and that could help independents swing back his direction. the thing i'll tell you about being on the ground here in ohio, chris, is that mitt romney is getting pounded by the local press in northern ohio, for that chrysler ad that he's been running, and it hasn't come off the air yet. it hasn't come off radio yet either. >> erin, has anybody said it's an honest ad, in the objective media? anybody said it's an honest ad? >> certainly not the media in northern ohio. not the toledo papers, the akron papers, the cleveland papers. they are all pounding mitt romney for that. and here's the thing, chris. northern ohio, especially cleveland and toledo, will go very heavily f
so there you see it, erin, these states all show obama up. i'm wondering, is that a consistent mood? obviously, the romney people don't buy that? >> no, and look, we are seeing a little bit of a swing back toward president obama. one thing i will say about the storm, about sandy, is that president obama is going to be continuing to get positive national media coverage this week. and that could help independents swing back his direction. the thing i'll tell you about being on the ground...
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battleground state of ohio, the obama re-election campaign has 137 field offices, compared with 40 for mitt romney. politico's maggie haverman says -- >> joining me now is howard dean, former chairman of the democratic national convention and former governor of vermont. thanks for being here. >> thanks for having me on. i particularly like, you have the power that the president talked about. that was from 2004. >> indeed, indeed. governor dean, let's talk about the ground game here. there's been a lot of analysis in the months and days leading up to this. in terms of number of field offices, i mentioned 125 to 40 in terms of offices in ohio, the obama campaign says they've reached 125 million people, and reported that the romney campaign has only reached 50 million. that seems to be a disproportionate disadvantage. >> nobody has ever done this better than the obama campaign and their game is even better than it was in 2008. so i expect we're going to win. i think we're going to win iowa and ohio. >> let's listen to what john boehner, from ohio, said today. he gave his prediction on fox
battleground state of ohio, the obama re-election campaign has 137 field offices, compared with 40 for mitt romney. politico's maggie haverman says -- >> joining me now is howard dean, former chairman of the democratic national convention and former governor of vermont. thanks for being here. >> thanks for having me on. i particularly like, you have the power that the president talked about. that was from 2004. >> indeed, indeed. governor dean, let's talk about the ground game...
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that's what barack obama did after he won his must-win states like illinois or pennsylvania. republicans haven't secured ohio. they haven't secured virginia. they haven't even secured north carolina. you can't expand the map until you secure the map. >> let's get to this auto industry fight. we have two new polls out of michigan tonight. a detroit news/wdiv poll shows president obama leading 48% to 45%, which is within the poll's 3.78 margin of error. but a new "detroit free press"/wxyz poll has president obama leading by six points, 48% to 42%. now, half of those polled said that the rescue of gm and chrysler was a deciding factor in their support and 2/3 of those people backed president obama. robert reich, it seems like michigan voters have figured out who they want to give credit to for the auto bailout. >> yes, they have. although romney and ryan are doing everything they possibly can, lawrence, to confuse voters, to dissemble, to claim credit for the bailout, to actually say, believe it or not, and unfortunately some people believe big lies when they're told over and ov
that's what barack obama did after he won his must-win states like illinois or pennsylvania. republicans haven't secured ohio. they haven't secured virginia. they haven't even secured north carolina. you can't expand the map until you secure the map. >> let's get to this auto industry fight. we have two new polls out of michigan tonight. a detroit news/wdiv poll shows president obama leading 48% to 45%, which is within the poll's 3.78 margin of error. but a new "detroit free...
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they were gore, bush, obama. the answer is iowa and new mexico, both states. gore in 2004, bush in '08. iowa, could they flip again? if you have a trivia question that should be on the show, e-mail us. we'll be right back from democracy plaza. jenna shared her recipe with sharon, who emailed it to emily, who sent it to cindy, who wondered why her soup wasn't quite the same. the recipe's not the recipe... ohhh. [ female announcer ] ...without swanson. the broth cooks trust most when making soup. mmmm! [ female announcer ] the secret is swanson. and you learned something along the way. this is the age of knowing what you're made of. so, why let erectile dysfunction get in your way? talk to your doctor about viagra. 20 million men already have. ask if your heart is healthy enough for sex. do not take viagra if you take nitrates for chest pain; it may cause an unsafe drop in blood pressure. side effects include headache, flushing, upset stomach, and abnormal vision. to avoid long-term injury, seek immediate medical help for an erection lasting more than four hours
they were gore, bush, obama. the answer is iowa and new mexico, both states. gore in 2004, bush in '08. iowa, could they flip again? if you have a trivia question that should be on the show, e-mail us. we'll be right back from democracy plaza. jenna shared her recipe with sharon, who emailed it to emily, who sent it to cindy, who wondered why her soup wasn't quite the same. the recipe's not the recipe... ohhh. [ female announcer ] ...without swanson. the broth cooks trust most when making soup....